Bitcoin price scenarios
A reference range based on the current price and recent volatility.
- Price
- $77,938.00
- Annualized volatility
- 40.2%
| Horizon | Bearish | Base | Bullish | Holdings with staking rewards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | $69,463.62 | $77,938.00 | $87,446.23 | 1 → 1.0353 BTC |
| 90 days | $63,849.99 | $77,938.00 | $95,134.42 | 1 → 1.1144 BTC |
| 1 year | $52,164.37 | $77,938.00 | $116,445.99 | 1 → 1.497 BTC |
Methodology
We calculate the standard deviation of log returns from hourly prices over the last 7 days and annualize it. The base scenario holds the current price, while the bearish and bullish scenarios assume a one standard deviation decline and rise. The staking row also shows how your coin holdings grow at the 365-day reward rate.
Price scenarios are statistical reference material only, not forecasts or investment advice. Actual prices may fall outside these ranges.